Research

We deliver strategic ideas and independent analysis to help inform countries, institutions, and leaders as they take on the most difficult global problems.

Recent Articles & Papers
Heavy rains from hurricane Helene caused record flooding and damage on September 28, 2024 in Asheville, North Carolina.
article
Flood Insurance Reform for the U.S. Housing Market

Flood risks affect homeowners’ costs and home values, but the housing finance system may not sufficiently account for these risks.

Endless power lines in the south of Namibia
article
Our Shared Energy Security: Why the U.S. and Its Energy-Poor Allies Must Coinvest in Solutions—and How

Many of the countries with globally significant mineral resources—which the United States and its allies will depend on to diversify the clean energy supply chain—are deeply energy insecure.

The front pages of the morning newspapers in Surabaya on November 7, 2024, show the reaction to the re-election of US President-elect Donald Trump.
research
What Does Southeast Asia Want from a New U.S. Administration?

Donald Trump’s return to the White House and his commitment to his policy agenda will challenge U.S. relations with Southeast Asia. This compilation looks to understand how the region views its relationship with the United States and to examine whether the region’s goals and interests can be aligned with those of a new administration.

Featured Research
The front pages of the morning newspapers in Surabaya on November 7, 2024, show the reaction to the re-election of US President-elect Donald Trump.
research
What Does Southeast Asia Want from a New U.S. Administration?

Donald Trump’s return to the White House and his commitment to his policy agenda will challenge U.S. relations with Southeast Asia. This compilation looks to understand how the region views its relationship with the United States and to examine whether the region’s goals and interests can be aligned with those of a new administration.

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Heavy rains from hurricane Helene caused record flooding and damage on September 28, 2024 in Asheville, North Carolina.
article
Flood Insurance Reform for the U.S. Housing Market

Flood risks affect homeowners’ costs and home values, but the housing finance system may not sufficiently account for these risks.

· January 14, 2025
Endless power lines in the south of Namibia
article
Our Shared Energy Security: Why the U.S. and Its Energy-Poor Allies Must Coinvest in Solutions—and How

Many of the countries with globally significant mineral resources—which the United States and its allies will depend on to diversify the clean energy supply chain—are deeply energy insecure.

· January 13, 2025
The front pages of the morning newspapers in Surabaya on November 7, 2024, show the reaction to the re-election of US President-elect Donald Trump.
research
What Does Southeast Asia Want from a New U.S. Administration?

Donald Trump’s return to the White House and his commitment to his policy agenda will challenge U.S. relations with Southeast Asia. This compilation looks to understand how the region views its relationship with the United States and to examine whether the region’s goals and interests can be aligned with those of a new administration.

· January 13, 2025
Abstract technology
paper
Measuring Changes Caused by Generative Artificial Intelligence: Setting the Foundations

Informed policy that leads to beneficial change is extremely challenging to develop without being able to measure the material impacts of GenAI.

  • +1
· January 9, 2025
Technology abstract
paper
China Decoupling Beyond the United States: Comparing Germany, Japan, and India

Key U.S. partners are moving toward less technological integration with China.  But their specific paths diverge significantly based on domestic circumstances and varied relationships with Beijing.

· January 8, 2025
Abstract artificial intelligence
article
AI Has Been Surprising for Years

AI presents a challenge for policymakers: a large number of potential risks have not emerged yet, but could emerge quickly. A first step toward navigating this challenge is recognizing that artificial intelligence doesn’t have the sort of stable, well-understood limitations it used to.

· January 6, 2025
An AI bot gathers a matrix of data.
paper
Speaking in Code: Contextualizing Large Language Models in Southeast Asia

Southeast Asia’s developers have sought to democratize AI by building language models that better represent the region’s languages, worldviews, and values. Yet, language is deeply political in a region as multiculturally diverse and complex as Southeast Asia. Can localized large language models truly preserve and project the region’s nuances?

· January 6, 2025
article
Saudi-Emirati Divergences Lead Hadhramawt to a Crossroad

Competition between Riyadh and Abu Dhabi over influence in the Yemeni governorate could lead to conflict between the two sides or their proxies, which risks provoking dangerous fragmentation.

· December 23, 2024
article
Influence Abroad: Saudi Arabia Replaces Salafism in its Soft Power Outreach

The kingdom aims to foster warmer international relationships by moving away from a religious approach that earned the royal family legitimacy; however it is adopting measures to minimize the potential price paid for this realignment.

· December 23, 2024
(From 3rd L to R) Tanzania Vice-President Philip Isdor Mpango, Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) President Felix Tshisekedi, US President Joe Biden, Angola President Joao Lourenco, Zambian President Hakainde Hichilema attend the Lobito Corridor Trans-Africa Summit at the Carrinho Food Processing Factory near Benguela on December 4, 2024.
paper
What Private Capital Cannot Do Alone: The Future of Global Infrastructure Development

For Global South governments to treat the United States as a credible partner in their economic development plans, U.S. policymakers must tackle the macroeconomic and structural constraints that kneecap the overall goals of sustainable development.

  • Advait Arun
· December 20, 2024